Thursday, August 4, 2016
8/4/16 NFP tomorrow.
I haven't traded much since the range was way too small. I just hold whatever I have. I will do some adjustment tomorrow and post P&L over the weekend.
Monday, August 1, 2016
Sunday, July 31, 2016
Saturday, July 30, 2016
This Week P&L
I don't trade much. I just sit and wait. The $SPX is pretty much flat but I'm pretty happy with my return. I reduced my position to whatever I had on Monday for the weekend.
Since I work from home most of the time, I can summarize more of my trading style. I hold position over the weekend. I start to accumulate position around Tuesday until Thursday.
I day trade the options on Friday and also reduce the position size to the size similar to what I start on Monday. It has been this way for a while. Yeah, I have been winning since the week of Bexit. I had the positive P&L most of the weeks before the week of Bexit too.
Am I ready for the next SPX's 100 point move? I think so at this moment.
I need the market to make a move so that I can verify it.
My YTD return is still much higher than SPX.
I need to give myself credit about cut loss. I benefit from it greatly.
Since I work from home most of the time, I can summarize more of my trading style. I hold position over the weekend. I start to accumulate position around Tuesday until Thursday.
I day trade the options on Friday and also reduce the position size to the size similar to what I start on Monday. It has been this way for a while. Yeah, I have been winning since the week of Bexit. I had the positive P&L most of the weeks before the week of Bexit too.
Am I ready for the next SPX's 100 point move? I think so at this moment.
I need the market to make a move so that I can verify it.
My YTD return is still much higher than SPX.
I need to give myself credit about cut loss. I benefit from it greatly.
Friday, July 29, 2016
Weekly summary
The past week told the tale of three markets as the tech-heavy Nasdaq climbed 1.2%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 0.8%, and the S&P 500 set an intraday record high, but finished the week essentially where it started (-0.1%).
Quarterly earnings were largely responsible for the differential in returns with the Nasdaq benefiting from upside surprises reported by heavyweights like Apple (AAPL), Alphabet (GOOGL), Amazon.com (AMZN), Facebook (FB), and Celgene (CELG). Conversely, the Dow was pressured by weak results from ExxonMobil (XOM) and disappointing comparable sales results fromMcDonald's (MCD). The broader S&P 500 split the difference between the Dow and Nasdaq.
In addition to receiving a boatload of earnings, investors had to recalibrate their expectations for monetary stimulus from global central banks. The Federal Reserve made no changes to its policy stance and only hinted at the possibility of a rate hike in the near term. The central bank shared its lukewarm outlook on Wednesday, two days before the Friday release of the advance reading of second-quarter GDP, which missed estimates (1.2%; Briefing.com consensus 2.6%). Also on Friday, the Bank of Japan called for just slight adjustments to policy, undershooting market expectations for aggressive stimulus measures. The Japanese yen rallied in response, pressuring the dollar/yen pair to a two-week low near 102.00.
Rate hike expectations receded throughout the past week. Since last Friday, the implied probability of a rate hike in December, estimated by the fed funds futures market, declined from 47.8% to 33.0%. The fed funds futures market does not expect the Federal Reserve to depart from its current target range until after July 2017.
| Index | Started Week | Ended Week | Change | % Change | YTD % |
| DJIA | 18570.85 | 18432.24 | -138.61 | -0.7 | 5.8 |
| Nasdaq | 5100.16 | 5162.13 | 61.97 | 1.2 | 3.1 |
| S&P 500 | 2175.03 | 2173.60 | -1.43 | -0.1 | 6.3 |
| Russell 2000 | 1212.73 | 1219.94 | 7.21 | 0.6 | 7.4 |
Wednesday, July 27, 2016
Sunday, July 24, 2016
Not much to write.
I've pretty much repeated what I did before. When I control the position and risks, I've done very well.
My return is higher than $SPX so far.
My return is higher than $SPX so far.
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